I think a general election is very likely this year

I don't know what the result will be, but I think it will happen.

Had I been richer, I would have had a bet on that before the odds started shortening, i.e. before "Boris Piccaninny Watermelon Letterbox Cake Bumboys Haircut Inconclusive-Cocaine-Event Wall-Spaffer Fuck-Business Get-Off-My-Fucking-Laptop Johnson" won his leadership election.

At the moment, it looks like the best odds are 3/5 = bet £5 and you get £8 back if it happens. Hmm, not quite enough.

OK, what else is available? Ah, Paddy Power is offering odds that a second No Confidence vote in the Government will take place this year. Bet £7 and you get £8 back if it happens.

What?!? Surely that has to be absolutely certain! It's free money!!

Ah.

Yes, only the Leader of the Opposition can put a motion of no confidence in the Government and we've got Jeremy Corbyn in that position...