A tale of one bet 2
Sep. 17th, 2014 05:51 pm![[personal profile]](https://www.dreamwidth.org/img/silk/identity/user.png){kind=small}
lovingbothAh ha, Jens Voigt is having a go at the Hour Record tomorrow.
I've used another free bet to say that he won't break it tomorrow. He certainly wouldn't do so if he had to use a Merckx-style bike, and quite a lot can go wrong. He's also not a great time-trial rider - his speciality was long breakaways and that's a very different style of riding (you have hills and things..) My prediction is that he'll be on schedule to do it for quite a while, but drop off the pace in the last 15 minutes.
But if he does manage it, it just makes it harder for Wiggins to get it = the main bet looks better.
The footballer has finally scored too, so that's another free bet available.
Update: he did make it. I'm very happy for him, even though I would have preferred it was postponed for a day :)
I've used another free bet to say that he won't break it tomorrow. He certainly wouldn't do so if he had to use a Merckx-style bike, and quite a lot can go wrong. He's also not a great time-trial rider - his speciality was long breakaways and that's a very different style of riding (you have hills and things..) My prediction is that he'll be on schedule to do it for quite a while, but drop off the pace in the last 15 minutes.
But if he does manage it, it just makes it harder for Wiggins to get it = the main bet looks better.
The footballer has finally scored too, so that's another free bet available.
Update: he did make it. I'm very happy for him, even though I would have preferred it was postponed for a day :)
(no subject)
Date: 2014-09-17 11:08 pm (UTC)(no subject)
Date: 2014-09-18 07:34 am (UTC)Someone in London has bet hundreds of thousands on 'no', but they only stand to win a fraction of that.
The two most possible results are a narrow 'yes' and a significantly bigger 'no'.